Schaeffer's Daily Option Blog

Motricity's Positive Price Action Brings Call Players to the Table

Front-month call volume balloons on MOTR

by Terri Stridsberg 2/6/2012 3:27 PM
Stocks quoted in this article:

Speculators are favoring Motricity, Inc. (MOTR - 1.59) calls today, as nearly 4,200 of these options have been exchanged so far, representing 22 times the equity's expected intraday volume. More than 1,800 calls have been traded at the in-the-money February 1 strike -- the majority of them at the ask price, pointing to buyer-driven volume. Currently, this option holds peak call open interest of just 1,017 contracts, so it's safe to say that new positions are being opened in this session.

This affinity for calls over puts is an ongoing trend for MOTR. The Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) stands at 0.20, conveying that calls outnumber puts by five to one among options expiring within three months. In fact, this ratio ranks in only the 6th percentile of its annual range, which indicates that short-term options players have been more call-heavy toward the stock just 6% of the time over the past year.

What's more, data from the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) reveals a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 293.4, confirming that calls bought to open have outnumbered puts by a whopping 293 to one during the last two weeks. In fact, this ratio sits just four percentage points shy of a yearly acme, signaling that traders have been snapping up bullish options over bearish at an almost annual-high clip.

However, it's worth noting that while short interest on MOTR declined by 9.8% during the last two reporting periods, these bearish plays still make up a hefty 21.84% of the equity's float. This suggests that short sellers looking to hedge their bets may be contributing to some of the recent call volume -- particularly since MOTR has gained about 99% over the past three days. Either way, it would take almost seven days to cover these shorted shares, at the stock's average daily trading volume.

Examining MOTR's technical performance, the equity has gained a staggering 77% year-to-date, and has outperformed the broader S&P 500 Index (SPX) by roughly 37% during the past 20 sessions. On the charts, the stock is already on pace to finish the week atop its 20-week moving average, a feat not accomplished since January 2011.

At last look, MOTR is up about 24% to flirt with the $1.59 region.


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Ahead of Earnings, Panera Bread Call Volume Rises

One investor employs a pre-earnings long strangle on PNRA

by Terri Stridsberg 2/6/2012 2:39 PM
Stocks quoted in this article:

Panera Bread Company (PNRA - 157.44) has seen a flurry of call activity today, as close to 5,100 of these options have crossed the tape so far, which is eight times above the norm. Most popular among traders has been the out-of-the-money February 160 strike, where nearly 1,400 calls have changed hands. Currently, this option carries open interest of 1,293 contracts, making it safe to assume that new positions are being initiated here today.

Upon closer inspection of the data, it appears that 153 puts were bought on the February 155 strike, while an equal number of calls were purchased on the aforementioned 160 strike. This activity signals the implementation of a long strangle. In this strategy, the trader is hoping that the stock will either fall south of $146.70 (put strike minus net debit of $8.30) or rally north of $168.30 (call strike plus net debit) by the time front-month options expire. Theoretically, his profit is unlimited, should the stock move up. If the stock goes down, however, his profit is limited to $146.70 (put strike minus net debit). Meanwhile, his maximum risk is capped at the net debit paid.

From a broader sentiment standpoint, however, investors seem to be harboring a more bearish attitude toward the bakery-café giant lately. PNRA's 10-day International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) put/call volume ratio rests at 1.08, indicating that puts bought to open have comfortably outnumbered calls during the last couple of weeks. This ratio registers in the 59th annual percentile, conveying that traders have been scooping up bearish bets over bullish at an accelerated clip.

Technically, PNRA has added more than 11% year-to-date, and has outpaced the broader S&P 500 Index (SPX) by over 8% during the past 60 sessions. On the charts, the stock continues to be ushered higher by its 10-week moving average, which has acted as support since mid-October. In fact, the equity tagged an all-time high of $158.78 earlier today.

It also bears mentioning that PNRA is scheduled to take its turn in the earnings confessional after tomorrow's closing bell, and has bested analysts' bottom-line estimates in all of the past four quarters. At last check, the equity is up about 1.6% to explore the $157.44 neighborhood.


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Speculators Eye Arena Pharmaceuticals' Longer-Term Calls

But is ARNA's call volume bullish or bearish in nature?

by Terri Stridsberg 2/6/2012 1:28 PM
Stocks quoted in this article:

Call players have set their sights on Arena Pharmaceuticals (ARNA - 2.00) today, as roughly 10,000 of these options have been exchanged so far, reflecting six times the equity's expected intraday volume. More than 5,100 calls have been traded at the out-of-the-money July 3 strike -- almost all of them at the ask price, suggesting they were bought. However, this option is currently home to peak call open interest of 11,226 contracts, so it's hard to say with certainty whether new positions are being opened in this session.

From a broader sentiment scope, call buying is par for the course for ARNA. The 10-day International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) call/put volume ratio checks in at 9.12, confirming that calls bought to open have outnumbered puts by more than nine to one during the last two weeks. Even so, this ratio ranks in just the 30th percentile of its annual range, signaling that traders have been buying bullish options over bearish at a slower-than-usual pace of late.

Elsewhere, short interest on the biopharmaceutical company rose by over 13% during the past two reporting periods, and now makes up a lofty 15.87% of ARNA's float -- or more than a week's worth of pent-up buying pressure. This could indicate that some of the recent call volume is the result of hedging activity by short sellers.

From a technical standpoint, ARNA is up around 7.5% so far this year, and has outpaced the broader S&P 500 Index (SPX) by nearly 25% during the past 60 sessions. What's more, the stock recently managed to find a foothold atop its 10-day and 20-day moving averages, the former of which had served as a ceiling over the equity for more than a month.

In the afternoon hours of the session, ARNA is up about 7% to wink at the $2.00 level.


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Premium Sellers Swarm Coinstar on Verizon Partnership

CSTR's short-term options are relatively expensive ahead of tonight's earnings release

by Andrea Kramer 2/6/2012 1:01 PM
Stocks quoted in this article:

The shares of Coinstar, Inc. (CSTR - 50.00) have bucked the broad-market trend lower this afternoon, after the firm said it's partnering with Verizon Communications (VZ) to launch an online streaming-video service. What's more, the news has lured a few call traders to the table, with roughly 14,000 of these options already exchanged -- about four times CSTR's average daily call volume.

Digging deeper into the data, however, we find that not all of the action has been of the bullish variety. Garnering the most attention has been the equity's out-of-the-money February 55 call, which has seen about 2,700 contracts change hands on open interest of fewer than 1,400, pointing to the initiation of new positions. Upon closer inspection, it seems the majority of the calls have crossed at the bid price, suggesting they were sold.

By writing the calls to open, the sellers are expecting CSTR to remain south of $55 over the next couple of weeks. In this best-case scenario, the contracts will expire worthless, and the traders can retain the entire premium received at initiation -- which represents the maximum potential reward on the play.

Furthermore, now seems like an opportune time for short-term premium sellers to initiate new positions. Ahead of the company's earnings release after the close tonight, the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) currently sits at 81% -- a 52-week peak. In other words, CSTR's near-term options are relatively expensive at the moment.

In early afternoon trading, CSTR has added 0.5% to linger in the $50 ballpark.


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Call Traders Mob MEMC Electronic Materials

WFR's February 6 call has garnered notable attention

by Andrea Kramer 2/6/2012 12:24 PM
Stocks quoted in this article:

MEMC Electronic Materials, Inc. (WFR - 5.38) has tacked on roughly 32% since the start of the year, and ended last week north of both its 10-week and 20-week moving averages for the first time since late March. However, it appears a handful of options speculators are expecting the security to continue its journey into the black in the short term.

Around midday, WFR has already seen roughly 11,000 calls cross the tape -- almost three times its average daily call volume, and 22 times the number of WFR puts exchanged.

Most active has been the out-of-the-money February 6 call, which has seen more than 6,600 contracts change hands on open interest of just 2,200, pointing to newly opened positions. Plus, 74% of the front-month calls have traded at the ask price, suggesting they were bought. By purchasing the calls to open, the buyers are betting on WFR to surmount the $6 level -- a feat not accomplished since early November -- within the next couple of weeks.

From a wider sentiment perspective, today's affinity for calls runs counter to the growing trend. On the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), the stock's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 0.41 ranks in the 76th percentile of its annual range. Or, simply put, options players have bought to open WFR puts over calls at an accelerated clip during the past two weeks.

At last check, WFR has advanced 3.7% to wink at the $5.38 level.


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Yahoo Inc (YHOO) $15.79 -0.85%

2/6/2012 4:20:02 PM
Yahoo for the trader who just put up a cool 270,000 contract trade on the PHLX on an otherwise low volume Monday with the broad averages near flat and vix up .79 to 17.89. On the PHLX the initiator paid 13c for 30K April 19calls and 1.38 for 70K July 16 calls and 10c for 40K July 22calls versus a sale of 130K July 18c for 56cents. Appears to adjust a large July 16-19 1x2 callspd that traded on jan 4th (see 1/4/2012 color).

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Vulcan Materials (VMC) $44.91 +0.27%

2/6/2012 1:20:01 PM
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Dryships Inc (DRYS) $2.59 +7.69%

2/6/2012 12:20:02 PM
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CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX) $17.24 -4.12%

2/3/2012 3:20:05 PM
CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX) fell to multi-month lows of 16.1 Friday morning and was recently down .77 points to 17.10. Trading in the VIX pit is very busy today and included some sizable blocks. One noteworthy trade is a Feb 26 - Mar 35 call spread, apparently bought for 29 cents, 40000X, and might close a positoin opened a couple of weeks ago when the same diagonal spread was sold for 7.5 cents, 40000X (see 1/24 color). Separately, an investor bought 60,000 April 20 - May 26 strangles on VIX for $4.45 and seems to have opened a position in anticipaton of increased volatility in the volatility index before mid-May. A third noteworthy trade in the index today is an April 28 - 35 (1X2) call ratio spread for 20 cents, 15000X. April 28 calls were sold to buy twice as many April 35 puts -- possibly roling up in strike prices, as open interest in the April 28s is over 67K. Total volume in VIX is 390,000 calls and 177,000 puts.

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Pioneer Natural Resources Co (PXD) $105.49 +2.76%

2/3/2012 1:20:04 PM
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Read more at WhatsTrading.com

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) $29.97 +0.27%

2/2/2012 4:20:04 PM
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Zynga Inc (ZNGA) $12.22 +15.28%

2/2/2012 11:20:04 AM
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Bank of America Corporation New (BAC) $7.37 +3.37%

2/1/2012 3:20:04 PM
Big call buyer is back in BofA (BAC) Wednesday. Shares have added 25 cents to $7.38 and a 62500-contract block of Apr 8 calls is bought on the bank for 37 cents. The trade is tied to 2.3 million shares at $7.40 and likely adds to positions opened yesterday, when 62,500 were bought for 28 cents per contract (see 1/31 color).

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ATP Oil and Gas Corp (ATPG) $6.32 -10.23%

2/1/2012 12:00:07 PM
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Manitowoc Company (MTW) $14.96 +11.31%

2/1/2012 11:20:04 AM
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Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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